START TR 9.4 Backtesting ও Forward Testing

Trading School BD Academy
Test Your Strategy Before Going Live

Test Before You Invest

নতুন ট্রেডাররা প্রায়ই মনে করে—

“Market Trend দেখলেই Live Trading করা যাবে”

কিন্তু Professional জানে—

❝ Backtesting ও Forward Testing ছাড়া Strategy Implement করা → Random Losses, Emotional Stress এবং Risk Exposure বাড়ায় ❞

📌 Testing = Validation + Confidence + Risk Control

১. Backtesting কী?

  • Definition: Historical Data ব্যবহার করে Strategy Test করা
  • Purpose: Evaluate Strategy Performance in Past Market Conditions
  • Components:
    • Entry / Exit Rules
    • SL / TP Discipline
    • Risk / Lot Size
    • Market Pair & Timeframe

উদাহরণ:

  • EUR/USD 1 Year Historical Data → Apply Strategy → Check Win/Loss, Reward/Risk Ratio
  • Identify Mistakes → Refine Strategy

📌 Professional: Backtesting → Predictable Performance & Error Identification

২. Forward Testing কী?

  • Definition: Live Market Conditions (Demo Account) এ Strategy Test করা
  • Purpose: Check Real-Time Execution, Slippage, Market Noise & Emotional Impact
  • Components:
    • Real-Time Market Conditions
    • Risk & Position Size Rules
    • Indicator / EA / Hybrid Workflow

উদাহরণ:

  • Demo Account → Apply Strategy → Monitor Trades → Compare with Backtesting Result
  • Refine Strategy → Ensure Live Readiness

📌 Forward Testing → Strategy Validation & Confidence Building

৩. Step-by-Step Implementation

1.     Backtesting

o    Collect Historical Data → Apply Strategy → Record Trades → Evaluate Performance

2.     Analyze Results

o    Win/Loss Ratio, Risk/Reward, Mistakes Identify

3.     Forward Testing

o    Demo Account → Apply Refined Strategy → Monitor Emotional & Execution Behavior

4.     Performance Review

o    Compare with Backtesting → Adjust Strategy if Needed

5.     Ready for Live Trading

o    Only after Consistent Demo Success

৪. Beginner-দের Common Mistakes

❌ Skip Backtesting → Random Losses
❌ Skip Forward Testing → No Real-Time Execution Validation
❌ Ignore Slippage & Spread → Live Losses
❌ Emotional Bias Not Checked → Overtrade

📌 ফল: Even Perfect Strategy → Live Loss + Confidence Erosion

৫. এই ওয়েবসাইট কীভাবে সাহায্য করবে

Trading School BD আপনাকে দেবে—

  • Historical Data Access → Backtesting Ready
  • Step-by-Step Forward Testing Demo Guide
  • Performance Tracking Templates
  • Strategy Refinement Workflow

👉 যাতে Strategy Validated → High Probability + Risk-Controlled Live Trading সম্ভব হয়

Next Step: এরপর কী?

📘 পরবর্তী আর্টিকেল:
৯.৫ System Failure ও Adaptation Rules

👉 Backtesting & Forward Testing শেখার পর
এবার শিখতে হবে—System Failure Management & Adaptation

শেষ কথা

❝ Professional Trader শুধু Strategy তৈরি করে Live Trading করে না,
সে Backtesting + Forward Testing ব্যবহার করে
Confidence, Accuracy এবং Risk-Control নিশ্চিত করে ❞

📢 শেয়ার করুন ও সাবস্ক্রাইব করুন

এই গাইডটি আপনার বন্ধুদের সাথে শেয়ার করুন যারা ট্রেডিং শিখতে চান!
🔔 সাবস্ক্রাইব করুন নতুন পোস্টের আপডেট পেতে।

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